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Priority

Focus

Editorial

Referring

to

the

article

published

on

pp.

54–63

of

this

issue

Inflammation: A

Significant Contributor

to Upper-tract Urothelial

Carcinoma

Prognosis?

Brant

Inman

* ,

Kae

Jack

Tay

Division

of Urology, Duke University Medical

Center, Durham, NC, USA

Upper-tract

urothelial

carcinoma

(UTUC)

is

a

rare

disease

that

tends

to present

late and at a muscle-invasive

stage

in

comparison

to

its

lower-tract

counterpart

[1]

.

To

com-

pound matters,

patients with

UTUC

are

usually

smokers

and older, and havemultiple comorbidities, often

including

significant

renal

impairment. While

immediate

postoper-

ative

instillation and neoadjuvant

systemic

chemotherapy

have become

the standard of care

for

lower-tract urothelial

cancers,

these

remain

difficult

to

apply

in

patients with

UTUC

[2]

.

Furthermore,

the

development

of

prognostic

tools

that

could

help

in

selecting

patients

for

these

therapies

has

been

challenging.

Thus,

it

is

timely

that

Tanaka

and

colleagues

[3]

,

through

a multicenter

collabo-

rative

effort,

propose

a

new marker

score

as

a

prognostic

tool

for UTUC.

Virchow

first noted

the

connection between

inflamma-

tion

and

cancer

when

he

observed

the

presence

of

a

‘‘lymphoreticular

infiltrate’’

in

cancers

arising

at

sites

of

chronic

inflammation

[4]

. The concept of

inflammation as a

critical

component

of

tumor

progression

has

since

been

expanded

with

the

recognition

of

inflammatory

cells

as

orchestrators

of

the

tumor microenvironment

[5]

.

In

an

attempt

to

elucidate

the

role

of

inflammation

in

UTUC

outcomes,

the

authors

have

laudably

built

on

previous

work

identifying

C-reactive

protein

(CRP)

as

a

prognostic

marker,

and

combine

those

findings with

the

neutrophil/

lymphocyte

ratio

(NLR)

and

plasma

fibrinogen

levels,

markers

identified

in

European

patients

[6,7]

.

Although

this

is

a

step

in

the

right direction,

the

scientific

approach

used

in

the

study

warrants

discussion

and

the

results

should

interpreted

in

context.

1.

Model

development

The proposed

cutoff points

for NLR, plasma

fibrinogen,

and

CRP

were

developed

from

previous

retrospective

studies

and

their combination

into a single tool

is a

logical next step.

However,

the

population

in

which

CRP

was

identified

originated

from

the

same

institutions

as

the

current

population

being

tested.

The

high

likelihood

of

overlap

between

the

development

(prior manuscript)

and

valida-

tion

(current

manuscript)

populations

raises

concern

regarding

significant

confirmation

bias,

whereby

the

previous

statistically

significant

results

are merely

being

replicated

in

the

same

population.

Generalizability

to

an

independent non-Asian cohort

is necessary

for validation of

the model.

Second,

the

cutoff

values

for

the markers were

adopted

on

the

basis

of

findings

in

their

individual

discovery

cohorts.

These

cutoffs

may

be

different

when

all

three

markers

are

combined.

Continuous

rather

than

binary

assessment

of

the

variables might

have

facilitated

the

construction of

a model more

informative

in determin-

ing

a

specific

pattern

predicting

recurrence

and

death.

Indeed, haphazard dichotomization of continuous variables

is undesirable because

information and statistical power are

usually

lost

during

this

process.

A

risk-score

logistic

regression

approach

would

probably

have

produced

a

different

and

possibly more

accurate

predictor.

Third,

the

authors

reported

a

high

correlation

between

plasma

fibrinogen

and

CRP,

and

moderate

correlations

among

NLR,

plasma

fibrinogen,

and

CRP.

This

is

not

surprising

because

all

three

markers

are

part

of

the

inflammatory

cascade. The exact

relationships merit

further

investigation,

E U R O P E A N U R O L O G Y F O C U S 1 ( 2 0 1 5 ) 6 4 – 6 5

available

at

www.sciencedirect.com

journal

homepage:

www.europeanurology.com

* Corresponding

author. Division

of Urology, Duke University Medical

Center, DUMC

2812, Durham, NC

27710, USA.

Tel.

+1

919

6818760;

Fax:

+1

919

6845220.

E-mail

address:

brant.inman@duke.edu

(B.

Inman).

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euf.2015.02.004

2405-4569/

#

2015

European

Association

of Urology.

Published

by

Elsevier

B.V.

All

rights

reserved.