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number

of

cigarettes

smoked

per

day)

[31] ,

and

greater

nicotine

dependency

(measured

by

time

to

first

cigarette

after waking)

[32,33] .

When

smoking

prevalence

is

high,

the mean

initiation

age

is

generally

<

20

yr

[3,34] .

Those

who

start

smoking at earlier ages are generally exposed

to

smoke

for

longer

durations,

unless

they

quit

early

[35]

.

Before

the

tobacco

epidemic

starts

in

a

population,

the mean

age

of

initiation

is

usually

higher

than

after

the

epidemic

is

established;

in

the United

States,

for

example,

the mean

initiation

age was

35

yr

among women

born

in

1900

and

<

20

yr

in women

born

in

1940

and

afterward

[36]

.

Smoking

initiation

in

earlier

ages,

an

increase

in

smoking

intensity,

or

a

combination

of

both

can

substan-

tially

increase

the

magnitude

of

associations

between

smoking

and

diseases

in

a

population

over

time.

For

example,

the

relative

risk

of

lung

cancer

in

women

associated

with

current

smoking

in

the

United

States

increased

from 2.7

to 12.7

to 25.7

in

cohorts

in

the 1960s,

1980s,

and

2000s,

respectively

[35]

.

Patterns

of

smoking

intensity

vary

across

countries.

In

some Latin American

countries,

including Chile and Bolivia,

smoking

intensity

has

remained

relatively

low

(average

<

10

cigarettes per day) despite high

smoking prevalence

in

those

countries

[24] .

In

contrast, average

smoking

intensity

increased dramatically

in China,

from 15

cigarettes per day

in

1980

to

22

cigarettes

per

day

in

2012

[24] .

The

latter

pattern might be

seen more

commonly

in

LMICs

as

a

result

of

increases

in

income

and/or broader

cigarette

affordabili-

ty.

In some countries

that have managed

to

reduce

smoking

prevalence

through

successful

tobacco control polices,

such

as

Canada,

Denmark,

Iceland,

New

Zealand,

and

Uruguay,

persons who

continue

to

smoke

are usually heavy

smokers

[24]

. These

intense

tobacco users, who are at a higher

risk of

smoking-related

diseases, may

need more

sustained

help

Fig.

2

Estimated

age-standardized

daily

smoking

prevalence

in

(a) men

and

(b) women

(aged

I

15

yr)

by

continent

(age-standardized

to

the

2000 world

standard

population)

[24]

.

E U R O P E A N

U R O L O G Y

F O C U S

1

( 2 0 1 5

)

3 – 1 6

7